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Red236
27243.8
29374.3
255944.9
Blue103
162646.2
122845.3
22335.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501160200300400236103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#22
74.34.6
60.865.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.1
1626
#32
46.20.9
46.845.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2559
#45
44.94.6
40.244.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1228
#26
45.30.9
37.736.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
272
#46
43.84.6
43.648.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
223
#11
35.80.9
36.735.8
Auto
Teleop
End