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Red177
43326.7
86951.9
1162.2
Blue186
19370.9
22335.8
125740.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154122050100200250300177186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#24
62.21.4
60.461.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
193
#21
70.92.9
68.871.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
#51
51.91.4
55.757.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
40.42.9
29.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
433
#54
26.71.4
33.134.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
223
#11
35.82.9
28.431.3
Auto
Teleop
End