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Red121
22587.2
121874.6
255944.9
Blue191
218058.7
397444.4
22258.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207139050100250300350121191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#3
87.23.8
79.775.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
222
#12
58.82.1
60.562.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
74.63.8
70.066.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
58.72.1
50.352.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2559
#45
44.93.8
46.442.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3974
#19
44.42.1
38.240.3
Auto
Teleop
End