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Red162
164060.8
457337.7
108958.7
Blue142
127960.2
511327.9
171241.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136106050150200250162142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.81.5
53.755.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1279
#10
60.21.6
48.950.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.71.5
43.945.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
1712
#17
41.71.6
30.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4573
#29
37.71.5
33.635.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
5113
#53
27.91.6
31.833.4
Auto
Teleop
End