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Red108
35754.8
122845.3
10227.0
Blue111
272941.2
43326.7
108958.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98131050150200250300350108111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
#44
54.80.3
42.342.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
58.70.7
47.546.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
#26
45.30.3
37.337.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2729
#18
41.20.7
43.542.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
102
#55
27.00.3
23.223.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
433
#54
26.70.7
34.533.7
Auto
Teleop
End