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Red106
259080.8
437329.1
511327.9
Blue128
314231.6
249544.7
218058.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154103050200250300106128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.82.0
85.183.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
58.70.9
52.453.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4373
#48
29.12.0
27.825.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
44.70.9
37.938.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5113
#53
27.92.0
33.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3142
#36
31.60.9
20.421.3
Auto
Teleop
End