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Red150
392961.9
125740.4
403524.9
Blue99
457337.7
10227.0
2558.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711805015020025030035015099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#15
61.92.5
51.253.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
25
#16
58.10.8
54.553.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.42.5
34.937.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4573
#29
37.70.8
36.435.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4035
#47
24.92.5
14.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
102
#55
27.00.8
23.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End