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Red155
495431.3
397444.4
171241.7
Blue89
31652.4
253919.1
511327.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100955015020015589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#19
44.42.8
40.743.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
316
#37
52.40.3
50.450.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#17
41.72.8
33.336.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
5113
#53
27.90.3
31.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4954
#43
31.32.8
25.528.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
2539
#50
19.10.3
14.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End