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Red114
34156.0
162646.2
192341.5
Blue186
121874.6
457337.7
259080.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134186050100250300350400114186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#40
56.01.4
56.855.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.8
80.80.4
80.280.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
#32
46.21.4
44.442.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
74.60.4
62.062.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1923
#41
41.51.4
41.139.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
4573
#29
37.70.4
35.636.0
Auto
Teleop
End