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Red178
36557.1
22335.8
130244.0
Blue175
35754.8
70842.0
140339.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135128050100150200250300178175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#13
57.12.2
61.063.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
357
#44
54.82.3
43.345.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1302
#28
44.02.2
39.141.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
708
#42
42.02.3
41.343.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
223
#11
35.82.2
33.435.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1403
#35
39.02.3
44.046.3
Auto
Teleop
End