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Red120
30442.5
314231.6
436135.2
Blue202
125740.4
22258.8
127960.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831710200300400120202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
304
#27
42.51.2
39.140.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
1279
#10
60.22.2
54.256.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4361
#33
35.21.2
35.636.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.7
222
#12
58.82.2
65.868.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#36
31.61.2
22.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
40.42.2
37.339.6
Auto
Teleop
End