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Red117
437329.1
122845.3
272941.2
Blue112
149525.9
511327.9
29374.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411050100150200117112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#26
45.30.2
40.640.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.9
293
#22
74.30.1
53.153.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2729
#18
41.20.2
41.141.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
5113
#53
27.90.1
32.232.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4373
#48
29.10.2
31.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1495
#39
25.90.1
24.925.0
Auto
Teleop
End