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Red125
437329.1
121874.6
7551.4
Blue170
125740.4
198940.2
272941.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15292050200250300125170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.60.9
70.169.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.4
2729
#18
41.23.4
37.040.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
#25
51.40.9
45.044.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
40.43.4
27.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4373
#48
29.10.9
27.726.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
1989
#52
40.23.4
37.340.7
Auto
Teleop
End