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Red127
314231.6
127960.2
31652.4
Blue179
219150.0
218058.7
10227.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133113050100150200250127179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#10
60.20.2
56.456.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
58.73.1
55.959.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#37
52.40.2
50.650.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2191
#14
50.03.1
41.744.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#36
31.60.2
23.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
102
#55
27.03.1
18.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End