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Red194
403524.9
218058.7
19370.9
Blue112
198940.2
257738.7
22335.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631020200300400500194112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#21
70.92.0
69.371.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
1989
#52
40.20.0
42.242.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.72.0
59.061.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
2577
#20
38.70.0
31.932.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4035
#47
24.92.0
25.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
223
#11
35.80.0
37.637.7
Auto
Teleop
End