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Red201
314231.6
130244.0
392961.9
Blue117
436135.2
1162.2
171241.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110145050200250300350400201117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#15
61.94.3
51.756.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
11
#24
62.21.1
66.465.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1302
#28
44.04.3
40.845.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1712
#17
41.71.1
39.638.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#36
31.64.3
23.127.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
4361
#33
35.21.1
33.332.2
Auto
Teleop
End