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Red100
219150.0
167649.1
257738.7
Blue155
22587.2
259080.8
253919.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131910300400100155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#14
50.01.2
44.843.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.2
225
#3
87.21.2
80.879.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
#38
49.11.2
48.046.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.8
80.81.2
78.477.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2577
#20
38.71.2
32.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
2539
#50
19.11.2
19.518.3
Auto
Teleop
End