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Red157
36557.1
218058.7
30442.5
Blue148
10227.0
397444.4
436135.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181830300400157148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.5
61.060.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
3974
#19
44.42.5
45.447.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
#13
57.10.4
61.160.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
4361
#33
35.22.5
32.234.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
#27
42.50.5
43.943.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
102
#55
27.02.5
20.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End