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Red171
259080.8
125740.4
30346.2
Blue151
20344.8
31652.4
249544.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721250100200300400171151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.80.3
77.277.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
316
#37
52.40.9
50.151.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
#34
46.20.3
44.644.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
203
#31
44.80.9
41.942.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
40.40.3
42.943.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
44.70.9
40.541.4
Auto
Teleop
End