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Red115
1671B35.2
973B17.8
167150.8
Blue123
4498B18.6
349520.6
971103.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82130050100150200250300350115123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#13
50.81.3
52.053.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 52.5
971
#5
103.20.0
99.599.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.21.3
21.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
20.60.0
15.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
973B
#18
17.81.7
15.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
18.60.0
7.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End