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Red38
352628.9
531218.2
440020.2
Blue18
513320.6
426217.4
473511.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784701001503818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3526
#15
28.90.6
30.830.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
5133
#18
20.60.6
21.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.20.6
22.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
17.40.7
18.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5312
#14
18.20.6
20.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4735
#17
11.70.6
12.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End