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Red6
531218.2
47469.7
35109.9
Blue46
379447.0
46859.5
426217.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42280206080100120140160646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#14
18.27.0
18.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.8
47.01.3
11.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3510
#29
9.92.8
13.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
17.41.3
10.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4746
#23
9.72.8
12.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4685
#36
9.51.3
8.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End