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Red28
473112.9
477530.4
440127.3
Blue77
347842.5
352628.9
228347.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577301001502002877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.6
15.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
47.50.6
27.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4401
#16
27.32.6
25.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
42.50.6
18.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4731
#24
12.92.6
18.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
3526
#15
28.90.6
24.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End