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Red11
315831.7
482015.5
466713.8
Blue83
47425.8
440329.4
435525.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464102060801001201401183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
31.72.9
27.324.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
29.43.5
17.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4820
#13
15.52.9
13.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
4355
#10
25.83.5
11.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4667
#30
13.82.9
5.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
4742
#37
5.83.5
12.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End