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Red11
478210.0
484213.1
473511.7
Blue48
467311.4
440020.2
463523.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334102060801001201401148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4842
#27
13.11.9
8.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
4635
#12
23.50.7
10.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4735
#17
11.71.9
11.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
20.20.7
18.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4782
#38
10.01.9
13.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
11.40.7
10.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End