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Red44
315831.7
472312.3
467311.4
Blue17
46859.5
393319.3
440127.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5746020801001201401604417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
31.70.9
24.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4401
#16
27.32.5
21.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4723
#33
12.30.9
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
3933
#19
19.32.5
18.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11.40.9
15.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4685
#36
9.52.5
8.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End