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Red12
467311.4
440127.3
497717.8
Blue17
47469.7
478210.0
440329.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494402060801001201401217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#16
27.33.0
18.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
29.42.3
28.225.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4977
#31
17.83.0
14.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4782
#38
10.02.3
9.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11.43.0
14.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4746
#23
9.72.3
7.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End