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Red72
228347.5
426217.4
473112.9
Blue93
348026.7
440329.4
315831.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64710501001507293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.6
36.236.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
3158
#11
31.71.8
26.027.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.40.6
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
29.41.8
25.927.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4731
#24
12.90.6
15.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
3480
#28
26.71.8
17.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End