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Red103
352718.3
335412.8
228347.5
Blue17
473112.9
467311.4
482015.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7036020608010012014010317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.5
39.141.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.0
4820
#13
15.51.6
14.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3527
#26
18.32.5
17.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4731
#24
12.91.6
15.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3354
#25
12.82.5
8.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
11.41.8
11.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End