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Red82
348026.7
35109.9
393319.3
Blue108
482015.5
531218.2
440127.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4855020408010012014082108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#28
26.72.0
21.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
4401
#16
27.33.0
24.227.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3933
#19
19.31.8
19.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
5312
#14
18.23.3
16.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3510
#29
9.92.0
7.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4820
#13
15.53.3
12.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End