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Red7
466713.8
473511.7
50938.2
Blue30
352218.5
379447.0
467311.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39380206080100730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4667
#30
13.82.6
9.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.2
47.00.8
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4735
#17
11.72.6
12.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3522
#21
18.50.8
15.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5093
#32
8.22.6
15.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
11.40.8
11.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End