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Red122
83665.5
397116.8
111140.8
Blue167
128718.4
90056.1
428829.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12895050150200250300122167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
65.50.0
65.565.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
900
#2
56.11.1
55.056.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4288
#38
29.41.2
28.129.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3971
#24
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1287
#44
18.41.1
17.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End