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Quarterfinal 1-22014 North Carolina Regional
Red158
397116.8
83665.5
111140.8
Blue65
345920.5
376321.7
519023.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13754010020025030015865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
65.50.6
65.8→66.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 42.1
5190
#12
23.40.0
23.8→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1111
#1
40.80.6
41.1→41.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.1
3763
#14
21.70.0
22.1→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3971
#24
16.80.6
17.1→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.7
3459
#27
20.50.0
20.8→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—