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Qual 102014 North Carolina Regional
Red52
366112.6
428829.4
264139.8
Blue36
370123.0
12211.2
481614.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614401001505236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#7
39.80.4
30.2→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.8
3701
#25
23.00.9
19.1→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4288
#38
29.40.5
16.4→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.7
4816
#39
14.70.9
10.1→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3661
#33
12.60.5
11.7→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
122
#48
11.20.9
17.6→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—