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Red49
111140.8
397116.8
448133.1
Blue27
453417.4
381114.2
368019.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624401001502004927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.9
20.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
3680
#50
19.61.6
13.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4481
#11
33.10.9
24.223.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
4534
#21
17.41.6
22.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3971
#24
16.80.9
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3811
#43
14.21.6
10.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End