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Red61
32159.6
128718.4
264246.2
Blue7
153332.7
379613.7
456115.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74510100150200617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#13
46.20.8
32.531.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
1533
#20
32.73.9
19.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1287
#44
18.40.6
26.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4561
#40
15.33.9
14.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3215
#47
9.60.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
3796
#49
13.73.9
20.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End