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Red26
428829.4
289025.5
12211.2
Blue63
128718.4
111140.8
141332.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518001001502002663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4288
#38
29.42.5
18.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
40.81.1
21.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2890
#19
25.52.5
16.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1413
#10
32.10.9
27.426.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
122
#48
11.22.5
20.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
1287
#44
18.40.9
26.926.1
Auto
Teleop
End