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Red126
373717.5
264037.2
37540.0
Blue116
429114.9
379613.7
333621.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8619050100150126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
#16
40.04.0
31.935.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
3336
#51
21.47.2
10.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.24.2
23.728.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.3
4291
#53
14.96.8
10.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3737
#26
17.54.0
19.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3796
#49
13.76.8
7.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End