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Qual 842014 North Carolina Regional
Red108
349314.2
44929.3
376321.7
Blue68
493522.8
333621.4
453417.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5456020408010012014010868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#18
29.33.6
29.6→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.5
4935
#23
22.80.6
22.5→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3763
#14
21.73.6
15.5→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
3336
#51
21.40.9
18.0→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3493
#34
14.23.6
9.0→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
4534
#21
17.40.8
14.9→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—