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Red183
289025.5
424524.8
264037.2
Blue28
381114.2
482912.2
456115.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693605010015018328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.28.6
29.237.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
4561
#40
15.30.9
16.015.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2890
#19
25.58.0
18.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
3811
#43
14.20.9
10.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4245
#45
24.88.0
16.324.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
4829
#41
12.20.9
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End