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Red189
128718.4
90056.1
428829.4
Blue71
205939.5
264246.2
493522.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711505015020025030018971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
56.11.5
54.756.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
2642
#13
46.20.8
47.646.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4288
#38
29.41.7
27.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
39.50.7
40.740.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1287
#44
18.41.5
17.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
4935
#23
22.80.7
24.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End