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Red114
19590.5
55861.5
512250.3
Blue210
405561.4
23075.0
17760.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2091940100300400500114210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
90.51.5
92.190.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
230
#4
75.00.2
74.875.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#3
61.51.5
63.061.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4055
#29
61.40.2
61.161.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5122
#31
50.31.5
51.950.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
177
#22
60.70.2
60.560.7
Auto
Teleop
End