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Red211
81164.6
7861.6
71653.2
Blue151
151961.4
346778.3
5866.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1782170100300400211151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#15
64.60.4
65.566.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
78.31.0
79.678.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
#24
61.60.4
63.563.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
58
#16
66.91.0
68.267.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
716
#5
53.20.4
55.155.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
61.41.0
62.761.7
Auto
Teleop
End