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Red170
405561.4
17760.7
23075.0
Blue166
17567.5
13155.4
107342.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2091570100300400170166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
75.00.5
76.375.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
175
#43
67.50.0
67.567.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4055
#29
61.40.5
62.762.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
131
#8
55.40.0
55.355.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
177
#22
60.70.5
62.061.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
1073
#13
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto
Teleop
End