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Red201
23075.0
55861.5
109948.5
Blue102
7861.6
352565.5
13354.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1912000100300400500201102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
75.00.4
76.276.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
3525
#17
65.54.8
71.066.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#3
61.50.4
68.368.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
78
#24
61.64.8
68.363.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1099
#47
48.50.4
48.048.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
133
#19
54.74.8
59.654.7
Auto
Teleop
End