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Red190
447334.7
512250.3
19590.5
Blue146
287749.8
456456.8
199143.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1991420100300400500190146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
90.50.0
97.797.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.7
4564
#26
56.80.2
57.056.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#31
50.30.0
57.557.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2877
#34
49.80.2
50.049.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4473
#18
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1991
#49
43.50.2
43.743.5
Auto
Teleop
End