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Red122
405561.4
492515.5
22856.8
Blue191
17567.5
151961.4
216853.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281930100300400122191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#29
61.40.8
63.863.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
175
#43
67.50.4
67.567.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#9
56.80.8
58.357.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
61.40.4
62.362.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4925
#53
15.50.8
16.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.6
2168
#36
53.10.4
53.553.8
Auto
Teleop
End