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Red142
346139.7
490931.0
31955.6
Blue147
24637.9
287749.8
393046.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114129050100150200250142147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#11
55.61.3
48.750.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2877
#34
49.81.0
51.352.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3461
#42
39.71.3
38.139.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
3930
#25
46.11.0
37.638.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4909
#51
31.01.3
29.430.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
246
#40
37.91.0
38.139.1
Auto
Teleop
End