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Red202
206758.3
13354.7
151961.4
Blue157
5866.9
208439.7
216853.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178138050100200250300350202157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.5
62.764.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
58
#16
66.90.6
52.453.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2067
#28
58.31.5
55.256.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2168
#36
53.10.6
55.856.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
133
#19
54.71.5
53.755.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
2084
#48
39.70.6
35.936.5
Auto
Teleop
End