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Red76
199143.5
24637.9
173550.2
Blue149
110049.7
55861.5
16640.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215205010020025030076149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#12
50.22.5
45.743.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
558
#3
61.50.1
67.968.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
#49
43.52.5
42.239.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1100
#30
49.70.1
41.942.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
246
#40
37.92.5
39.136.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
166
#21
40.80.1
37.537.6
Auto
Teleop
End